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NPD Sales Results for August 2015 [PS4 #1 HW/SW, 7M Amiibos LTD, 600K LTD Splatoon]
- Thread starter Nirolak
- Start date
StrongBlackVine
Banned
NOT SO FAST, not so fast... what is YOURS prediction?
I never do predictions as I don't see my knowledge of the industry being that solid. 3:1 just seems outlandish to me based on status of two IPs right now...even in the U.S.
Mister Megative
Banned
I guess it's just me and my Ouya against the world.
Thebeardofknowledge
Banned
NOT SO FAST, not so fast... what is YOURS prediction?
Your 3:1 prediction is so ludacris and is like hitting on 16 in blackjack , you basically guarantee a victory for anyone you wager against.
Source?
spatenfloot
Member
That's Cerny right after getting out of the tub.
No it did not. Uncharted 3's worldwide sales were approaching 10 million according to the last figures we got.
StrongBlackVine
Banned
Uncharted 3 sold more than Uncharted 2 based on the math done on here a while back.
Mister Megative
Banned
Didn't PS4 outsell PS3 in the U.S. concurrently last year?
D
Deleted member 47027
Unconfirmed Member
That's good, then.
Surprised at Rare Replay and Gears of War both doing Top 10 simultaneously and rather high...
Xbox owners are coughing up the dough that's for sure.
Until Dawn Top 10 is nice. Par for the course for everything else...except Madden PS4 (I guess XB1 bundle sales not counted help give PS4 the edge + 700K+ base gap).
Looking forward to split leaks.
Xbox owners are coughing up the dough that's for sure.
Until Dawn Top 10 is nice. Par for the course for everything else...except Madden PS4 (I guess XB1 bundle sales not counted help give PS4 the edge + 700K+ base gap).
Looking forward to split leaks.
So, you don't predict any numbers, and ask me to make a bet?
No, thanks.
Are you talking about August 2008 VS August 2015?
If so, yes, PS3 sold 185,000 unit in August 2008, and we know PS4 is over 201,600.
D
Deleted member 47027
Unconfirmed Member
I definitely didn't expect Gears to chart at all considering how sparse of a package it was. And I didn't think people gave much of a shit about Rare's backcatalogue. Wonder what was pushing most of those purchases?
For me is was sweet, delicious RC Pro Am.
For me is was sweet, delicious RC Pro Am.
Bloodborne I think
Whatever happened to this cosmic?
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=172561421&postcount=1941
I seem to recall you saying that PlayStation 4 would fail to have an install base higher than 30 million by December 31st 2015.
You wanna do the bet?
So, you don't predict any numbers, and ask me to make a bet?
No, thanks.
I'll bet you that the gap between H5 and U4 is less than 2.5:1. You can choose the period of time, in months, up to a full quarter.
Banjo-Kazooie
Member
Bragging about a beta? lol
The original person I addressed was Lucreto
It's not my problem if people are subseqeuntly going to jump into the conversation and muddy the waters with worldwide stuff.
Mister Megative
Banned
So, you don't predict any numbers, and ask me to make a bet?
No, thanks.
Are you talking about August 2008 VS August 2015?
If so, yes, PS3 sold 185,000 unit in August 2008, and we know PS4 is over 201,600.
I mean 2014 lined up against 2007. I was under the impression PS4 outpaced it in sales.
theprodigy
Member
I assume he meant NPD only, otherwise a bunch of Wii U games have done it.
Not in the US.
I think that Sony has only had two first party titles break 1M first month in the US during their entire history (God of War 3 and The Last of Us) unless I am missing something major.
No need to get defensive, I saw you talking to Vine and that's the conversation I jumped in on.
Mass Effect
Member
I don't think you can use 3's sales as an indicator for 4. Halo's popularity has been declining since 3, with it being the peak.
There is no way Halo 4 sold 15 million. While we don't have any solid proof either way, we do know the online playerbase dropped significantly after a month and never recovered. I can't see that happening if 4's sales were as strong as Halo 3's. 4's online numbers are actually significantly worse than Reach's. I wouldn't be surprised if it sold less than Reach.
On the other hand, we do have the Halo franchise sitting at 65 million according to Microsoft, and we do have rough numbers for Halo 1, 2, 3, ODST, Wars, and Reach (though less info than the others), so maybe it did do well (though not Halo 3-well).
Titanfall I guess, if you include One + PC + bundles.
PS4 in 2014 sold waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay more than PS3 in 2007.
Banjo-Kazooie
Member
travisbickle
Member
If you can put "Call of Duty: Black Ops III" in your PR you put "Call of Duty: Black Ops III" in your PR.
twinturbo2
butthurt Heat fan
I had a hunch it would be in the top ten. I didn't expect it to land at #6.
See what happens when you put effort into retro compilations? You get rewarded.
Final Verdict
Member
What counts as month 1 though? Because it will only have a few days of tracking in October...
Then if you throw in November it's technically two weeks longer than the tracking period for Halo 4...
Swass
Member
Don't forget they were released at a budget price, Rare Replay was $30 and Gears $40..
Again, not in the US. Halo barely cracked the November top 10 last year.
hodayathink
Member
Worldwide? Yes. Just NPD? No.
Didn't the 360 version come out a month after the XB1 version?
And I think the Halo:Uncharted ratio will end up somewhere around 2:1 NPD or lower (I'm thinking 3 million for Halo and 1.5 million for Uncharted). 3:1 assumes Uncharted 4 is going to only sell a million, which I don't see happening seeing as TLOU sold better than that and this is going to be advertised everywhere.
No contest.
Banjo-Kazooie
Member
I mean, ya, but like, it just seems weird as fuck lol. I get the business aspects behind it but if you really think about how silly that is to include in an NPD statement then it's just...ya
Well Gears certainly did better than I expected. Clearly that brand has maintained popularity a bit better than expected. Will be interesting seeing how that carries over to Gears 4.
Call me crazy but I actually figured Until Fawn would be charted a bit higher with all the buzz (YouTube trending, positive wom, solid reviews, Markplier and Pewdiepie etc). Maybe it'll have decent legs next month.
Very curious to see what sort if hardware sales gap we have this month. Likely to be pretty close.
Call me crazy but I actually figured Until Fawn would be charted a bit higher with all the buzz (YouTube trending, positive wom, solid reviews, Markplier and Pewdiepie etc). Maybe it'll have decent legs next month.
Very curious to see what sort if hardware sales gap we have this month. Likely to be pretty close.
Titanfall sold ~1.1m on Xbox One alone in first NPD month.
The Last of Us missed out. It was slightly under.
Yeh sorry, I edited my post now.
I think it was 1.1m+ with SW + Bundled software for One + PC.
GribbleGrunger
Dreams in Digital
I don't see why some people are so confident that Halo will outsell Uncharted. Firstly, we have the Nathan Drake Bundle (which will help reintroduce the Uncharted brand to those who may have forgotten), secondly, we know that 40% of PS4 owners are people who never owned a PS3 and a huge chunk of those are going to be 360 owners, thirdly, Millions of people will have been exposed to the quality of ND because of TLOUR, fourthly, Uncharted 4 is going to be the most thrilling and visually incredible entry for the franchise and supposedly the last (MGSV effect), and fifthly (that sound wrong) the marketing behind Uncharted: A Thief's End will be insane and will probably accompany a price drop.
I'm not too sure Halo will outsell it, even in the US.
I'm not too sure Halo will outsell it, even in the US.
travisbickle
Member
I agree, the whole statement is strange, don't they usually just say thanks for the support?is the Madden comment true if you include bundles?
Bolivar687
Banned
Can't believe Call of Duty charted twice, let alone with a last gen bundle of a 3 year old game and a 5 year old game.
Does this just reflect on how slow August is?
Maybe if UC4 has a hype beta a la Destiny or Black Ops III, its lifetime sales will eventually just squeak past Halo 5's, due to the sheer gap in install base.
But NPD launch months? I would be incredibly surprised.
Does this just reflect on how slow August is?
Maybe if UC4 has a hype beta a la Destiny or Black Ops III, its lifetime sales will eventually just squeak past Halo 5's, due to the sheer gap in install base.
But NPD launch months? I would be incredibly surprised.
Yes,
It might be part of the deal for all we know. "Hey, look at how popular this game still is. Give Activision money."