Ellery
Member
We're almost there 1:1 . But seriously is there some other hidden thing that this is telling us? Feels like it's signaling something... the expected is that the euro recovers and we go back to a ~1.2 conversion but maybe the value of the dollar plummets instead to get back to the previous rate. Or does it say something positive about the US market?
The ECB is lagging behind the FED significantly. They are between a rock and a hard place, because any interest rate increases are insanely difficult to handle for struggling countries in the euro zone and sadly the list of countries that struggle is long and big including huge countries like spain, italy, greece, portugal and sadly sadly sadly even france (where Christine is actually from).
The ECB actually hasn't even started with QT yet. They are still praying for things to normalize in a miraculous way.
My personal fear is that there is a very high chance of dividing europe and that would play right into the hands of BRICS states.
At some point german, dutch etc. people will be furious if they start to understand how the spread control of the ECB works transfering wealth of strong economic countries to weak ones that splurge and go into debt. There is a legit chance of countries going back to their previous currency and abandon the euro, because for some countries the euro is a burden because.
The one thing I hope most for is that I am absolutely wrong with all of what I fear regarding the outlook of whatever is to come. I genuinely hope I was manipulated by fear and media into catastrophizing and doomsaying this entire situation.