• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Official December NPD Prediction Thread (Pachter kills EVERYBODY! Bow down!!!)

D

donny2112

Member
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 4 p.m. EST on Friday, January 11th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

Do not use decimal points or "m"/"million" in your predictions. If you predict over 1 million for a system, you can use 1000K or more to get to your prediction.

Format:

[360]
[GBA]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

We may not get GBA numbers, but we'll keep predicting for them until January, just in case.

Examples:

Code: 
Good              Bad
[PS2] 123K        [PS2] 123.5K
[PS2] 123,000     [PS2] 123.000
[PS2] 123000      [PS2] - 123000
[PS2] 123456      [PS2] one-hundred and twenty-three thousand
[PS2] 1215K       [PS2] 1.2m

The Official Software Prediction thread is here, but if you want to predict for games outside of that list, put them in quote tags or else they may be picked up as hardware predictions. Also, you can put comments on the same line spaced after the number for the hardware predictions.


NPD Release: January 17th @ 4:00 p.m. EST (thread posted around 6:30 p.m. EST)
NPD Coverage: December 2, 2007 - January 5, 2008 (5 weeks, November was 4 weeks)


November 2007 Results (4-week month) - thanks to sonycowboy and NPD

sonycowboy said:
Hardware Unit Sales

PlayStation 2 496K
PlayStation 3 466K
PSP 567K
Xbox 360 770K
Wii 981K
Nintendo DS 1.53 million

November 2007 Top 10 Video Games Rank # Units
360 CALL OF DUTY 4: MODERN WARFARE ACTIVISION (CORP) NOV 2007 MATURE (M) 1 1.57 million
WII SUPER MARIO GALAXY NINTENDO OF AMERICA NOV 2007 EVERYONE (E) 2 1.12 million
360 ASSASSIN'S CREED UBISOFT NOV 2007 MATURE (M) 3 980K
PS2 GUITAR HERO III: LEGENDS OF ROCK ACTIVISION (CORP) OCT 2007 TEEN (T) 4 967K
WII PLAY W/ REMOTE NINTENDO OF AMERICA FEB 2007 EVERYONE (E) 5 564K
360 MASS EFFECT MICROSOFT (CORP) NOV 2007 MATURE (M) 6 473K
PS3 CALL OF DUTY 4: MODERN WARFARE ACTIVISION (CORP) NOV 2007 MATURE (M) 7 444K
WII GUITAR HERO III: LEGENDS OF ROCK ACTIVISION (CORP) OCT 2007 TEEN (T) 8 426K
360 HALO 3 MICROSOFT (CORP) SEP 2007 MATURE (M) 9 387K
PS3 ASSASSIN'S CREED UBISOFT NOV 2007 MATURE (M) 10 377K
Click to expand...

December 2006 Hardware (for comparison)
Note: The percentage is the monthly change from November 2006.

NDS - 1.6 million (+74%)
PS2 - 1.4 million (+111%)
360 - 1.1 million (+115%)
WII - 604.2K (+27%)
PSP - 953.2K (+131%)
PS3 - 490.7K (+150%)


Potentially significant releases from December 2 - January 5

360 -
NDS -
PS2 - Rock Band (12/18)
PS3 - Unreal Tournament III (12/10), Orange Box (12/11)
PSP -
WII - NiGHTS: Journey of Dreams (12/18)


Edit:
Sales PRs

Sony - From Nov 23-Dec 31, PS3 - ~1200K, PSP - ~1400K, PS2 - ~1300K
 
G

GhaleonEB

Member
I usually do this early so my predictions are not colored by the trends I see, but in this case I'm going to hold off in case the big three put out any data points for sales.
 
Tieno

Tieno

Member
duk said:
[360] 1.6m
[GBA] 700k
[NDS] 2.6m
[PS2] 1.1m
[PS3] 850k
[PSP] 1.1m
[WII] 2m
Click to expand...
Code: 
Good              Bad
[PS2] 123K        [PS2] 123.5K
[PS2] 123,000     [PS2] 123.000
[PS2] 123000      [PS2] - 123000
[PS2] 123456      [PS2] one-hundred and twenty-three thousand
 
A

Armada

...
[360] 1,100,000
[GBA] 120,000
[NDS] 2,600,000
[PS2] 730,000
[PS3] 650,000
[PSP] 900,000
[WII] 1,700,000
 
D

donny2112

Member
Tieno said:
Code: 
Good              Bad
[PS2] 123K        [PS2] 123.5K
[PS2] 123,000     [PS2] 123.000
[PS2] 123000      [PS2] - 123000
[PS2] 123456      [PS2] one-hundred and twenty-three thousand
Click to expand...

Thanks for pointing that out to him. I'll add to the original post that "m" is a poor choice, too. :)
 
T

Timedog

good credit (by proxy)
[360]1501k
[GBA]5318008
[NDS]2986k
[PS2]638k
[PS3]727k
[PSP]861k
[WII]1692k


Edit: changed my GBA # from 347k.
 
F

FrankT

Member
WII > 360+PS3

Flat out, nope. 360 numbers will be huge with a cheaper price point, see December 06 is all there is to say really.
 
J

Jokeropia

Member
[360] 1350k
[GBA] 250k
[NDS] 2625k
[PS2] 950k
[PS3] 900k
[PSP] 1050k
[WII] 1650k

Might update these later, but I'm posting it now just in case I forget.
 
C

Crushed

Fry Daddy
gaffacesnpd.png


Whatever happens to us each month GAF, we'll survive it... together.
 
A

Archie

Second-rate Anihawk
[360] 1,500,000
[WII] 2,000,000
[PS3] 850,000
[PS2] 950,000
[DS] 2,200,000
[PSP] 1,100,000
[GBA] 400,000
 
blitz64

blitz64

Member
Wii-za said:
I got a question...are the Rainchecks counting asi sales???
Click to expand...

In my opinion, they do NOT. Preorders and giftcards do not count as sales. So rainchecks should be the same.
 
J

jarrod

Banned
[360] 1,200,000
[GBA] 350,000
[NDS] 2,200,000
[PS2] 750,000
[PS3] 700,000
[PSP] 900,000
[WII] 1,300,000
 
F

Flyguy

Member
NPD results on Thursday?

Edit: nevermind, OP says thread closes Friday 1/11. so I'm assuming the following Thursday?
 
G

GhaleonEB

Member
Flyguy said:
NPD results on Thursday?

Edit: nevermind, OP says thread closes Friday 1/11. so I'm assuming the following Thursday?
Click to expand...
A bit further down the OP:

NPD Release: January 17th @ 4:00 p.m. EST (thread posted around 6:30 p.m. EST)

I just cleared my calendar for it. :D
 
D

Dire

Member
[360] 1400000
[GBA] 480000
[NDS] 2900000
[PS2] 1300000
[PS3] 1100000
[PSP] 1500000
[WII] 1600000
 
V

VALIS

Member
[360] 1,250,000
[GBA] 340,000
[NDS] 2,400,000
[PS2] 760,000
[PS3] 740,000
[PSP] 900,000
[WII] 1,400,000
 
O

Odysseus

Banned
this one's tough because of potentials for shortages with wii, i'm not sure about ds' availability situation, and the abbreviated shopping period between last npd and Christmas.

here goes first shot. subject to edits. lots of them.

[nds] 2300k
[wii] 1500k
[360] 1200k
[psp] 1000k
[ps2] 800k
[ps3] 750k
[gba] 300k
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top Bottom