Psychotext
Member
MS haven't been saying much about anything at the moment. I figure it's because they're still getting the new guy up to speed.Gadfly said:
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Official August 2007 NPD Prediction Thread
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
B_Rik_Schitthaus
Banned
[DS] 436,000
[Wii] 396,000
[360] 268,000
[PS2] 234,000
[PSP] 192,000
[PS3] 135,000
[GBA] 67,000
Edit: PS3 too high.
[Wii] 396,000
[360] 268,000
[PS2] 234,000
[PSP] 192,000
[PS3] 135,000
[GBA] 67,000
Edit: PS3 too high.
Frank the Great
Banned
[PS2] 150,000
[PSP] 200,000
[PS3] 180,000
[360] 220,000
[GBA] 80,000
[NDS] 410,000
[WII] 390,000
[PSP] 200,000
[PS3] 180,000
[360] 220,000
[GBA] 80,000
[NDS] 410,000
[WII] 390,000
DeaconKnowledge
Member
[Wii] 392k
[DS] 360k
[360] 210k
[PS2] 205k
[PSP] 132k
[PS3] 120k
[GBA] 75k
[DS] 360k
[360] 210k
[PS2] 205k
[PSP] 132k
[PS3] 120k
[GBA] 75k
Kurosaki Ichigo
Member
[NDS] 390,000
[WII] 375,000
[360] 275,000
[PS2] 220,000
[PSP] 180,000
[PS3] 110,000
[GBA] 80,000
[WII] 375,000
[360] 275,000
[PS2] 220,000
[PSP] 180,000
[PS3] 110,000
[GBA] 80,000
Region-FreeWii
Member
[NDS] 401,000
[WII] 398,000
[360] 239,000
[PS2] 196,000
[PSP] 179,000
[PS3] 135,000
[GBA] 72,000
Everything down xcept 360.
[WII] 398,000
[360] 239,000
[PS2] 196,000
[PSP] 179,000
[PS3] 135,000
[GBA] 72,000
Everything down xcept 360.
Livin_Lovin
Member
[PS2] 205,000
[PSP] 210,000
[PS3] 135,000
[360] 175,000
[GBA] 90,000
[NDS] 390,000
[WII] 415,000
[PSP] 210,000
[PS3] 135,000
[360] 175,000
[GBA] 90,000
[NDS] 390,000
[WII] 415,000
Odysseus said:
GameStop reported sales doubling after the price drop.
acklame said:
The official PS3 site has the release being Sept. 4. The NeoGAF release thread for the last week of August, GameFAQs, BestBuy.com, and Amazon.com have it releasing Aug. 30/31. With the ambiguity, I'll go ahead and leave thee game listed in the original post for August.
BrodiemanTTR said:
donny2112 said:
I'm not 100% sure, but with the way the parser works, you could have the PS2, 360, and Wii selling 8 units each. It's safer to just put it in "quote" tags.
VanMardigan
has calmed down a bit.
[NDS] 450,000
[WII] 359,000
[360] 215,000
[PS2] 255,000
[PSP] 162,000
[PS3] 110,000
[GBA] 55,000
[WII] 359,000
[360] 215,000
[PS2] 255,000
[PSP] 162,000
[PS3] 110,000
[GBA] 55,000
Cheesemeister
Member
XSX said:
gregor7777
Banned
[360] 305k
[WII] 411k
[PS3] 103k
[PS2] 140k
[NDS] 426k
[PSP] 125k
[GBA] 68k
[WII] 411k
[PS3] 103k
[PS2] 140k
[NDS] 426k
[PSP] 125k
[GBA] 68k
Randy Lanzarote
Member
[NDS] 390,000
[WII] 385,000
[360] 263,000
[PS2] 210,000
[PSP] 185,000
[PS3] 145,000
[GBA] 70,000
[WII] 385,000
[360] 263,000
[PS2] 210,000
[PSP] 185,000
[PS3] 145,000
[GBA] 70,000
MobiusPigeon
Banned
[wii] 370k
[ps3] 135k
[360] 270k
[ds] 430k
[psp] 117k
[gba] 80k
[ps3] 135k
[360] 270k
[ds] 430k
[psp] 117k
[gba] 80k
Sho_Nuff82
Member
I'm predicting a massive Wii60 month. Why?
- Metroid
- Bioshock
- 360 price drop
- Nintendo re-allocating Wiis to NA to compensate for 360 price drop so the sales don't look that close
[Wii] 500k
[DS] 400k
[360] 300k
[PS2] 225k
[PSP] 240k
[PS3] 150k
[GBA] 90k
- Metroid
- Bioshock
- 360 price drop
- Nintendo re-allocating Wiis to NA to compensate for 360 price drop so the sales don't look that close
[Wii] 500k
[DS] 400k
[360] 300k
[PS2] 225k
[PSP] 240k
[PS3] 150k
[GBA] 90k
JoshuaJSlone
Member
Last month PS3 sales doubled, week for week... but the X360 price drops are smaller and it hadn't hit such amazing lows, so I don't expect it will have the same effect... maybe a 60% improvement, allowing Madden and Bioshock to nudge things up a bit further. 170K x 1.6 = 270K
PS3 sales doubled, but they won't keep that same pace... let's say a 25% drop. 159K x .75 = 120K
Wii sales were surprisingly high. Part of me says that Wii shows fluctuations and it will be down, but others say Nintendo supplied more than usual to go with Metroid Prime 3... I'll compromise and go with a minor drop to a nice round 400K; both a drop, and the second highest per-week amount for a month this year.
DS... July to August has been a down time for portables, but DS was already lower than expected last month so maybe things will even out by staying the same or going higher. I'll still go with a minor drop, though: 380K.
PSP: Considering both the down time for portables and that PSP seems to be on a pre-Slim downslide, I'll dip it 20%. 214K x 0.8 = 170K
PS2: Not much of a July->August pattern to work with, but I have to think that with increasing Wii/X360/PS3 sales, PS2 will have to keep giving. Down 10% to 200K.
GBA: Huh. Well, I guess I said GBA was usually down, and it's on a larger down trend anyway, so I'll knock it from 87K to 75K.
GCN: Just in case; I'll say it dropped about 1000 a month since last we saw it. 8K.
[Wii] 400K
[DS] 380K
[360] 270K
[PS2] 200K
[PSP] 170K
[PS3] 120K
[GBA] 75K
[GCN] 8K
S3 ratio was 1.6:1. By the end of August it should be around 2.3:1. The Wii version should show a lot more growth year over year.
PS3 sales doubled, but they won't keep that same pace... let's say a 25% drop. 159K x .75 = 120K
Wii sales were surprisingly high. Part of me says that Wii shows fluctuations and it will be down, but others say Nintendo supplied more than usual to go with Metroid Prime 3... I'll compromise and go with a minor drop to a nice round 400K; both a drop, and the second highest per-week amount for a month this year.
DS... July to August has been a down time for portables, but DS was already lower than expected last month so maybe things will even out by staying the same or going higher. I'll still go with a minor drop, though: 380K.
PSP: Considering both the down time for portables and that PSP seems to be on a pre-Slim downslide, I'll dip it 20%. 214K x 0.8 = 170K
PS2: Not much of a July->August pattern to work with, but I have to think that with increasing Wii/X360/PS3 sales, PS2 will have to keep giving. Down 10% to 200K.
GBA: Huh. Well, I guess I said GBA was usually down, and it's on a larger down trend anyway, so I'll knock it from 87K to 75K.
GCN: Just in case; I'll say it dropped about 1000 a month since last we saw it. 8K.
[Wii] 400K
[DS] 380K
[360] 270K
[PS2] 200K
[PSP] 170K
[PS3] 120K
[GBA] 75K
[GCN] 8K
Would that really be such a shock? I remember early on PS3 Madden 2007 sales were better than Wii's (though not by how much), but a lot has changed since then. By the end of January, WiiHaunted One said:good luck, buddy.
S3 ratio was 1.6:1. By the end of August it should be around 2.3:1. The Wii version should show a lot more growth year over year.
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
[WII] 425,000
[NDS] 450,000
[360] 230,000
[PSP] 175,000
[PS2] 200,000
[PS3] 140,000
[GBA] 85,000
[NDS] 450,000
[360] 230,000
[PSP] 175,000
[PS2] 200,000
[PS3] 140,000
[GBA] 85,000
PistolGrip
sex vacation in Guam
Hardware:
[NDS] 400,000
[WII] 370,000 shipment should have dropped now
[360] 225,000 price drop marketing raises sales but people are still holding out on for the Elite
[PS2] 230,000
[PSP] 200,000 Very low on stock. September should see a huge jump.
[PS3] 170,000 Should do much better in september. Lair and Warhawk push it up a bit.
[GBA] 80,000 lol still going
Software:
Madden PS2 - 700k
Madden 360 - 500k
Bioshock - 300k
Metroid Prime 3 - 100k
Madden Wii - 300k
Madden PS3 - 400k
GRAW 2 PS3 - 120k
Lair - 100k //not bad for 2 days of sale
Warhawk - 150k // not bad for weekend sales plus DL available.
[NDS] 400,000
[WII] 370,000 shipment should have dropped now
[360] 225,000 price drop marketing raises sales but people are still holding out on for the Elite
[PS2] 230,000
[PSP] 200,000 Very low on stock. September should see a huge jump.
[PS3] 170,000 Should do much better in september. Lair and Warhawk push it up a bit.
[GBA] 80,000 lol still going
Software:
Madden PS2 - 700k
Madden 360 - 500k
Bioshock - 300k
Metroid Prime 3 - 100k
Madden Wii - 300k
Madden PS3 - 400k
GRAW 2 PS3 - 120k
Lair - 100k //not bad for 2 days of sale
Warhawk - 150k // not bad for weekend sales plus DL available.
dawnXjustice
Member
Let's have a crack at this...
[Wii] 360k
[DS] 390k
[360] 270k
[PS2] 210k
[PSP] 230k
[PS3] 120k
[GBA] 80k
[Wii] 360k
[DS] 390k
[360] 270k
[PS2] 210k
[PSP] 230k
[PS3] 120k
[GBA] 80k
Mithos Yggdrasill
Banned
[Wii] 450k
[NDS] 400k
[PS2] 210k
[PSP] 190k
[X360] 200k
[PS3] 130k
[GBA] 90k
Bioshock - 550k (only X360 version)
Metroid Prime III Corruption - 330k (only one week)
[NDS] 400k
[PS2] 210k
[PSP] 190k
[X360] 200k
[PS3] 130k
[GBA] 90k
Bioshock - 550k (only X360 version)
Metroid Prime III Corruption - 330k (only one week)
sonycowboy
Member
PistolGrip said:
All of the PS3 are WAYYY to high. You expect LAIR which nobody knew was out and has gotten horrible reviews to sell the same as Metroid Prime 3, when the Wii has by far a larger userbase.
Actually, I think all of your predictions are off. (Not going against you personally as I have no idea who you are).
[nds] 420k
[wii] 400k
[psp] 215k
[ps2] 210k
[360] 300k
[ps3] 130k
[gba] 80k
i'm going to stick to my guns from the july npd thread (http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=7555158&postcount=2016). i'll make adjustments for the rest of the year after august. i already know i'm going to need to massage the november/december numbers a bit, with thanksgiving falling earlier in the november period and there being less pre-christmas weeks in the december period.
[wii] 400k
[psp] 215k
[ps2] 210k
[360] 300k
[ps3] 130k
[gba] 80k
i'm going to stick to my guns from the july npd thread (http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=7555158&postcount=2016). i'll make adjustments for the rest of the year after august. i already know i'm going to need to massage the november/december numbers a bit, with thanksgiving falling earlier in the november period and there being less pre-christmas weeks in the december period.