Just checked, the XB1 sold 187K last April. Now, it may be flat YoY, down or even up. A bit hard to predict, but it should be around that region.
And it sold 115,000 in April 2014... and the PS4 sold 174,000 last April.
I don't see why XB1 should sell at 2015 April level, if was barely up YOY this month.
I mean, for sell 187,000, XBO should have a -3% decrease in weekly sales. Why you think so?
Last year seem legit XBO did better in weekly sales because March was a normal month with XBO at $350 and Battlefield Hardline which sold 420,000, while April was the Mortal Kombat month which sold 515,000 and the insane deals.
This time March was way stronger, with The Division witch sold over 870,000 on XBO including bundle, and the official price drop the last 2 weeks.
What have XBO in April better than in March?
In term of software The Division will crush Dark Souls III and Quantum Break combined.
And the pricedrop was already a thing in March...
The only difference is that this time the pricedrop and the deals are for 4 weeks and not 2 weeks, but still, considering March is almost always WAY bigger than April, hemm...
I just don't see why XBO should drop by only < 5% in weekly sales.
The usual drop is 30% more or less, look at PS4 in 2014 and 2015. I can see a 20-15% drop, but a super small drop, let alone a flat trend seem just too unlucky.