i would expect around 10k-15k for bayonetta 2 and about 20k for hyrule warriors to be honest (first week sales).
americans are more interested in those games than the japanese audience is, i think.
I'm really confused about the pessimism here. I'm pessimistic, but this is even worse than my own...
These are NES Remix 1 & 2's numbers: NES Remix 1 + 2 11,020 27,124
Folks are really expecting Hyrule Warriors & Bayo 2 to have a comparable first week to a retail release of two digital titles? Unlike Wonderful 101 these are known IPs that are now exclusive to Wii U. These aren't the typical family friendly fare as well, so their first week sales are likely going to be the majority of their sales (aka not much legs imo).
Personally I think Zelda Musou will have about 100K LTD with 40K FW (aka similar to DKC). I think a combined set of Warriors & Zelda fans can push it up to those numbers... (there's at least about 35K Warriors owners & 50K Zelda Wind Waker owners) already. Bayo 2 might be closer to 75K. They'll do terribly compared to other consoles, but relatively do better than the average game on Wii U.
Let's see how Warriors games have done on different consoles for example (btw for so many games, these games sold pretty well on PS3):
PS3:
One Piece: Pirate Warriors 627,214 828,132
Dynasty Warriors 7 259,787 476,018
Dynasty Warriors 6 176,180 416,288
Warriors Orochi 3 210,553 395,411
Dynasty Warriors: Gundam 3 190,293 385,987
Dynasty Warriors 8 213,338 371,531
Dynasty Warriors: Gundam 2 161,623 352,659
Dynasty Warriors: Gundam 171,032 330,995
Samurai Warriors 3 Z 224,012 328,716
Samurai Warriors 4 149,068 251,807
Warriors Orochi Z 104,326 229,126
Dynasty Warriors: Gundam Reborn 113,493 214,225
Dynasty Warriors 6: Empires 78,680 158,401
Dynasty Warriors 7: Xtreme Legends 79,452 154,813
Warriors Orochi 3 Ultimate 82,986 146,165
Samurai Warriors 3: Empires 70,488 122,519
Dynasty Warriors 7: Empires 67,358 103,800
Dynasty Warriors: Strikeforce 30,070 88,472
Dynasty Warriors 8: Xtreme Legends 36,588 59,169
Warriors: Legends of Troy 28,556 53,591
Dynasty Warriors Online: Shinshou Ranbu 8,150 31,460
Dynasty Warriors: Strikeforce 2 HD Version ? 7,940
Samurai Warriors 2 with Xtreme Legends & Empires HD Version 6,627 6,627
3DS:
Samurai Warriors Chronicles 43,044 155,059
Samurai Warriors Chronicles 2nd 35,806 68,360
Dynasty Warriors VS 15,607 45,870
Vita:
One Piece: Pirate Warriors 2 54,509 103,757
Dynasty Warriors: Gundam Reborn 44,889 96,021
Samurai Warriors 4 43,545 92,722
Dynasty Warriors Next 32,044 80,052
Warriors Orochi 3 Ultimate 24,825 48,225
Dynasty Warriors 8 with Xtreme Legends 11,627 11,627
Wii U:
Warriors Orochi 3 Hyper 6,184 35,000
PS4:
Dynasty Warriors 8 with Xtreme Legends 13,576 40,823
Warriors Orochi 3 Ultimate 7,129 11,852
Also I didn't realize we had any #s for Yakuza 1&2 on Wii U. It didn't sell much less than Sonic in the end lol. Sure these are terrible #s, but just FYI I guess.
WIU Sonic: Lost World ? 9,613
WIU Yakuza 1&2 HD for Wii U ? 7,700